The REO (Real Estate Owned) to Rental Industry is about to explode with an onslought of reposessed homes turning into rental property. Here's the story from CNBC News…
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The long-awaited housing recovery is beginning to blossom, according to industry experts taking a look at recent existing-home sales.
Paul Dales, chief economist at Capital Economics, says "it is clear that a housing recovery is now well underway."
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), concurs with Dales' assessment, saying "The pattern of home sales in recent months demonstrates a market in recovery."
The evidence: home sales have been on the rise for the past three months, posting a 5 percent increase in December.
In addition to the 5 percent increase in December, NAR reported a 1.7 percent annual increase in existing-home sales in 2011, a total of 4.26 million homes for the year.
Housing inventory is on the decline and fell to its lowest level since March 2005 last month, according to NAR. Approximately 2.3 million homes are available for sale currently.
"The inventory supply suggests many markets will continue to see prices stabilize or grow moderately in the near future," Yun said.
However, listed inventory is only part of the equation, and according to CoreLogic's latest numbers, shadow inventory stands at about 1.6 million.
Regardless, Dales believes sales will rise this year. "Housing still won't contribute much to GDP growth over the next few years, but at least it will no longer subtract from it," Dales says.
All those "record-low" mortgage rates have you watering at the mouth to buy a home or refinance your current one? Mortgage lenders adjust their rates based on perceptions of risk, so unless you can show you're a low-risk borrower, you are unlikely to qualify for a rate that matches those seen in all the advertisements and headlines.
Consumers who want to try for the lowest rates available need to consider these basic factors:
Credit Score: The ideal borrower has a FICO score of 740 or higher. That puts you in the best place for pricing. According to MyFICO.com, borrowers with scores of 760 to 850 could qualify for an annual percentage rate of approximately 3.95 percent on a $500,000 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, while those with scores of 620 to 639 qualify for 5.53 percent.
Points: The lowest rates usually are decreased by paying a fee called a point, or 1 percent of the loan amount. You need to buy points in order to get the best rates at many banks. In Freddie Mac's recent weekly survey on mortgage rates, points have averaged 0.7 percent on loans in the last year. Points might make sense depending on your financial situation and how long you expect to stay in a home. So ask for a zero point quote, too, and compare.
Down Payment: Borrowers who put down at least 25 percent are more likely to obtain "attractive pricing" at most banks. Lenders offer different breaks on rates if equity is higher, so you should ask what is available.
Loan Length: A lot depends on how long you plan to live in a home. If you're likely to move in a few years, an adjustable-rate loan with a low interest rate fixed for, say, three to five years, and adjusted afterward, might work best. Also, rates on 15-year fixed-rate loans are lower than those on the 30-year — 0.77 percentage points, on average, last year.
Property Type: If you're buying a duplex or a four-unit building, your rate will almost certainly be higher. Condominiums may also have a rate premium, especially if they are newer or your down payment is below 25 percent. Lenders charge more if you are not planning to live in the home. Commercial properties like apartment buildings have the highest rates, as they are considered riskier.
Borrowers may also be able to reduce their mortgage rate when they enter into a "lock-in" agreement with a lender. Lenders typically offer a lower rate for a shorter lock period.
Lenders typically agree not to change an offered interest rate for 60 days, but borrowers confident of a quick closing may be willing to accept a 45-day rate guarantee, or even a 30-day lock, in exchange for a small discount, because the transaction's speed helps the lender reduce its risk.
Borrowers must make sure, too, that they consider the entire cost of a home, looking carefully at monthly payment calculations. About a third of homeownership costs are in addition to the mortgage — among them property taxes, insurance, maintenance and repairs.
While year-over-year home price measurements notched down in 2011, prices are expected to see a slight uptick in 2012, according to Clear Capital.
Should the valuation company's predictions ring true, it would be the first time since 2006 that the change in annual home prices has landed in positive territory.
In 2012, Clear Capital is forecasting U.S. home prices to show continued stabilization with a slight gain of 0.2 percent across all markets. That would put national home prices near levels not seen since 2001.
Clear Capital's report shows U.S. prices declined 0.4 percent in December on a quarter-over-quarter basis as markets gave back some of the gains of the summer buying season.
December's quarterly assessment is the first cooling off after six monthly reports from Clear Capital showed minimal quarterly gains. In fact, the company says the most recent six months of the year saw national home prices flat, posting a decline of just 0.1 percent over the second half of 2011.
The 2.1 percent price decline over 2011 marked the smallest year-end change in either direction since the market gained 1.7 percent in 2006.
Clear Capital expects 2012 to play out much like the last half of 2011, with only a very subtle price change at the national level. A minimal decline in the beginning of the year is expected to turn into a meager gain by year's end.
Half of the 50 major metro markets included in Clear Capital's study are expected to post gains for the year, with individual metros experiencing the full gamut of price movement, from double-digit growth to double-digit drops.
When buying a home, there are a lot of things to look at to ensure you make the right decision. It is a significant investment on your part as a buyer, so one of the things you need to be aware of is the cost involved in buying the home.
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